[1] "C:/Users/ASUS/Documents/Econometria"
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test
data: Khc
Dickey-Fuller = -1.1326, Lag order = 3, p-value = 0.9067
alternative hypothesis: stationary
Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test
data: dKhc2
Dickey-Fuller = -5.2822, Lag order = 3, p-value = 0.01
alternative hypothesis: stationary
Call:
arima(x = Khc, order = c(1, 2, 1))
Coefficients:
ar1 ma1
-0.1587 -0.8202
s.e. 0.1933 0.1301
sigma^2 estimated as 1588: log likelihood = -215.06, aic = 436.13
Fila 2
Cuadro B
Ljung-Box test
data: Residuals from ARIMA(1,2,1)
Q* = 5.6153, df = 7, p-value = 0.5853
Model df: 2. Total lags used: 9
Fila 4 {.tabset}
Cuadro D
### Cuadro E
Point Forecast Lo 80 Hi 80 Lo 95 Hi 95
2015 1368.526 1317.456 1419.595 1290.422 1446.629
2016 1409.438 1336.451 1482.426 1297.813 1521.063
2017 1451.504 1356.283 1546.725 1305.876 1597.132
2018 1493.387 1375.850 1610.923 1313.629 1673.144
2019 1535.298 1394.865 1675.732 1320.523 1750.073
2020 1577.205 1413.168 1741.243 1326.332 1828.079
2021 1619.113 1430.697 1807.530 1330.955 1907.272
2022 1661.021 1447.420 1874.622 1334.347 1987.695
2023 1702.929 1463.332 1942.526 1336.497 2069.361
2024 1744.837 1478.433 2011.241 1337.407 2152.266
2025 1786.745 1492.732 2080.757 1337.091 2236.398
2026 1828.652 1506.240 2151.065 1335.566 2321.739
